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Blog  | Archives for October 2018

Confidence in Northern Region Continues for Southern Trust

couple deciding to get pre-approved for their home loan

SVP / Regional Manager Brian Picker is leading the charge in the north for the growing east-coast lender.

While the recent growth in Virginia and Carolina regions have sparked interest in the east-coast-based mortgage lender, Southern Trust Mortgage is also seeing an uptick in growth and influence in its northern region (MD, DC, DE, PA, Eastern Shore). SVP / Regional Manager Brian Picker is based out of their Ellicott City, MD branch and has been a key leader and a catalyst for growth in the region.

“What Brian has done with our Northern Region has been nothing short of incredible. He is a top producer but also knows exactly how to foster a thriving team. That’s a rare combination”.
– Jack Lane, President of Southern Trust Mortgage

As a top producing originator, Brian attributes his success to providing clients with the highest level of service. His priority is to ensure all customers have a pleasant and well-informed mortgage experience. As a result, Brian has closed over $1,000,000,000 in mortgages and has garnered loyalty from his past clients. It’s not uncommon for Brian to acquire customers for life. As SVP / Regional Manager, Brian oversees a growing group of loan officers in the Maryland/DC area and will continue to build the impact and awareness of Southern Trust Mortgage.


Have questions about joining our team? We’d love to have a no-pressure, discovery conversation with you. Visit our Sales Careers Website to learn more!

Blog  | Archives for October 2018

Mortgage Market Update – October 29th, 2018

Mortgage Market Update – October 29th, 2018

Rates and Global Events

Hello everyone. It has been a few weeks since our last market update, and fortunately, we have seen rates generally move lower between that time and now. You will recall that a lot of positive buzz in the domestic economy helped propel equities—and rates by extension—higher. The news of a tri-party trade agreement between Mexico, Canada, and the US coupled with an extraordinarily robust labor market gave market participants plenty of room for optimism. Q3 GDP estimates have been trending higher as well, with the first read close to 3.5%. However, there was always some concern that higher funding costs associated with higher rates would negatively impact corporate earnings and serve to dampen demand on the part of the consumer as well. We saw some of that concern manifest itself over the last week and a half or so as stocks have lost quite a bit of their recent luster. Over the last month, the S&P is down over 9% and the 10yr yield, which had been trading in the low 3.20s is now about 12 to 15 basis points lower. So this is definitely good news for our business, but I will caution you that we have not enjoyed the full benefit of this move in Treasuries as the instruments that drive rate sheet pricing mortgage-backed securities have tended to underperform given the increased volatility.

Forecasting

Given the upcoming data calendar, I don’t see this trend towards higher volatility reversing any time soon. First up, we have the Fed’s favorite indicator of inflation—the Personal Consumption Expenditure (or PCE) indices out this morning, with Consumer Confidence, Construction Spending, regional Fed surveys, and of course the monthly payrolls report out later this week. Next week’s elections could also prove extremely impactful to price action. Pollsters currently have the House flipping from Republican to Democrat control while most believe the R’s hold on to the Senate. After the 2016 election, however, the reliability of these polls have become increasingly suspect. The initial reaction to a robust blue wave likely has stocks going lower—perhaps significantly so—with rates following suit. For now, rates remain above the multi-decade bull channel so continue to be defensive against another move higher. I still think that we will see a 2-handle on the 10yr before we call this year done. Good luck out there, and have a great week.

Hance Thurston
Head of Capital Markets, Southern Trust Mortgage


Have questions about the mortgage market or looking to start the homebuying journey? Get started by contacting a local Southern Trust expert. We are standing by to help!

Blog  | Archives for October 2018

Mortgage Market Update – October 2nd, 2018

Mortgage Market Update – October 2nd, 2018

FOMC Update

Hi guys! So, last week was a big week with the FOMC meeting representing the biggest risk event that markets were paying attention to. In a widely expected move, the members voted in favor of raising the Fed Funds target rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%. This is the eighth increase in this tightening cycle and the 3rd so far this year. The policy statement did not offer too many surprises, and the chart of forward rate projections suggest one more 25 basis point raise later this year and then at least three more in 2019. As I am sure you guys know, this policy decision does not mean that mortgage rates are now 25 basis points higher. The Fed controls the overnight rate at which banks lend to one another, so the rates at the very shortest part of the yield curve.

Mortgage rates—at least your standard Agency mortgage rates—are dependent on how mortgage-backed securities are trading. These bonds are more influenced by activity at the longer end of the curve like the 7yr and 10yr spots. Since the FOMC meeting came and went pretty much as expected, longer-term rates actually fell subsequent to the meeting’s conclusion. This is a good thing because, in the days leading up to the meeting, the 10yr yield had moved back to the very top of the recent range, challenging the high closing print of the year near 3.11%. Additionally, you will recall me discussing in prior market updates that there is this multi-decade downward sloping channel that has defined the bull market in rates dating back to the late 1980s. The 10yr is now back above that channel. I believe we need to see a move lower in rate—and quickly—to keep this bull run intact.

Global Events and Analysis

Unfortunately, that is not what we are seeing to start this week. The weekend announcement that the United States and Canada have come to an agreement on trade, and Canada will be making the bi-party deal between the US and Mexico a triparty affair has bolstered a risk on sentiment. Equities were well bid in the pre-market trading session and yields have moved higher by 1.5 to 2.5 basis points. There are a lot of things going right for the US economy right now, so it is difficult for me to name a catalyst that will take rates materially lower in the short term. The employment picture has been extraordinarily robust, and I am not betting that this week’s payrolls data is going to help much. However, structural issues remain in the global economy that should temper some of the current optimism. While the US has come to trade terms with Mexico and Canada, it is still very much at odds with the Chinese who are our largest trading partner by far. Also, don’t count out the usual suspects of market disruption—unsustainable debt burdens for some of the peripheral EU countries, Brexit negotiations, etc. The political climate in the US and the upcoming midterm elections could also turn this market sizzle into a fizzle.

I hate to root for bad economic news, but we are a purveyor of mortgages and I want to see rates stay low for our borrowers. Good luck out there, and have a great week.

Hance Thurston
Head of Capital Markets, Southern Trust Mortgage


Have questions about the mortgage market or looking to start the homebuying journey? Get started by contacting a local Southern Trust expert. We are standing by to help!

Blog  | Archives for October 2018

Southern Trust Mortgage names Jack Lane as President

couple deciding to get pre-approved for their home loan

The addition of Jack Lane as President of Southern Trust Mortgage is a key factor in the company’s upward trajectory.

Southern Trust Mortgage is thrilled to announce that effective October 1, 2018, Jack Lane will be joining the company as President. A widely-respected leader in the industry, Mr. Lane has over 25 years of experience leading multibillion-dollar retail mortgage lenders, including 7 years as President at Monarch Mortgage and TowneBank Mortgage.

Southern Trust Mortgage is uniquely positioned as a mortgage lender by having strong internal leadership, structure, and vision, as well as being backed by an established bank. Combining Mr. Lane’s proven leadership with a brand on the rise like Southern Trust creates a powerhouse that is primed for further expansion and influence. This comes on the heels of an already massive year for Southern Trust that included the release of their widely-praised Priority Approval initiative and a successful rebranding campaign.

“Given Southern Trust’s culture of putting their loan officers at the center of an amazing customer experience], this was the obvious choice for the next chapter in my career,” said Lane, “As I researched my options, it became clear that Southern Trust Mortgage has built an extraordinary platform that consistently delivers a level of service that loan officers and their customers can’t find anywhere else.”

“Southern Trust was the obvious choice for the next chapter in my career” – Jack Lane

Jerry B. Flowers III, the founder, and current President and CEO of Southern Trust had this to say: “Having a guy like Jack, with as many opportunities as he has, decide to make Southern Trust Mortgage his next home makes me very proud of our people and what we’re building.” Mr. Flowers will remain actively involved at Southern Trust Mortgage as Executive Chairman and majority shareholder, “I will do more of what I enjoy most which are recruiting and engaging directly with loan our officers.” Anthony T. (Tuck) Reed will assume the role of CEO.


Have questions about joining our team? We’d love to have a no-pressure, discovery conversation with you. Visit our Sales Careers Website to learn more!

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